Newsletter Publications - 9/17 thru 9/21

[will.cover]

Please post them in here when they become available.

Thanks.

 

[USC_TheReal]

I'd love to get pdfs of CKO, GS, and Marc Lawrence. Preciate all the fine work, gentlemen.

 

[WINNERS_ONLY]

CKO

CONFIDENTIAL KICK-OFF
PRIORITY PICKS and
PREFERENCES

CKO CHOICE IN CAPITALS
* - Denotes Home Team RATINGS: 11 - Exceptional, 10 - Strong, 9 - Above Average


11 *WASHINGTON over St. Louis
Late Score Forecast:
*WASHINGTON 27 - St. Louis 6
(Sunday, September 20)


St. Louis flying to the OTHER side of the country (28-0 loss in Seattle last week). And Rams facing an even tougher
defense this week, with Washington DT Albert Haynesworth keeping things difficult for Steven Jackson (67 YR last
week), while Haynesworth and rookie pass rusher Brian Orakpo apply the pass-rush pressure on the declining
Marc Bulger (17 of 36 in opener; is his finger fracture 100%?). After last season’s fade, Redskin coach Jim Zorn
can’t afford an 0-2 start in 2009, while the Spagnuolo-coached Rams find themselves talent-shy in too many areas
(WR, OL, DL, LB, DB). St. Louis 11-22 vs. the spread their last 33 on the board.

================================================== =======================================
10 MICHIGAN STATE over *Notre Dame
Late Score Forecast:
MICHIGAN STATE 31 - *Notre Dame 28

Both teams off disappointing losses last week, but see definite edges with double-digit dog Michigan State. Few
teams have played Notre Dame tougher, as the Spartans have a 10-2-1 spread mark in last 13 against ND, including
a 6-0 SU mark in South Bend in that string. Young ND defensive front seven has had a bit of a rocky start, yielding
5.1 ypc against Nevada and Michigan. MSU has a crew of speedy, young backs who can take advantage of any
mistakes. Spartans will likely be healthier this week as well, as C Nitchman (knee injury in opener), WR Dell (19 ypc
LY; nagging shoulder injury) and speedy frosh RB Baker (missed CMU game nursing a sore knee) could all return
to action this week. ND offense clicking, but MSU can trade points.

================================================== ========================================
10 *TEXAS over Texas Tech
Late Score Forecast:
*TEXAS 45 - Texas Tech 17

Can’t resist playing the revenge angle in this game. Texas Tech’s last-second Crabtree TD to win last year’s
meeting still stings all Longhorn players, coaches and fans. That was Texas’ only loss of the season and cost it a
spot in the BCS title game. Despite TT’s 55-10 win vs. Rice, new Red Raider QB Taylor Potts making first start on
road, and receivers such as NFL first-round draftee Crabtree aren’t easily replaced. Texas has put up 50 ppg in
first 2 games behind Heisman-hopeful QB Colt McCoy, and the Red Raider defense hasn’t been truly tested. Surely
Longhorn safeties Gideon (who had a sure interception go through his hands with 8 secs. left in LY’s game) and
Thomas, who combined for 16 tackles last season vs. TT, will have something to prove.

================================================== =========================================
10 MIDDLE TENNESSEE over *Maryland
Late Score Forecast:
MIDDLE TENNESSEE 30 - *Maryland 23

CKO sources in the ACC recommend not to be overly concerned about any revenge motive Maryland might have
after losing at MTSU last season. That’s because Terps have plenty of other things to worry about these days,
namely, a young “D” allowing 44 ppg that’s forcing even mascot Testudo to cover his eyes after CAA rep James
Madison punctured UM’s stop unit for nearly 300 YR last week at Byrd Stadium. Those defensive shortcomings
almost contributed to a shocking loss vs. FCS-level Dukes and will make it difficult for Terps to reverse a debilitating
2-13 slide their last 15 as chalk. Sun Belt sources aren’t even sure Blue Raiders will need any help from oddsmakers
now that dynamic jr. QB Dasher has proved such a quick study in new o.c. Franklin’s spread (Dasher 231 YP and
89 YR in MTSU’s dominating 31-14 win last Saturday vs. capable Memphis).

================================================== ==========================================
10 *SOUTH CAROLINA over Fla. Atlantic
Late Score Forecast:
*SOUTH CAROLINA 42 - Fla. Atlantic 10

SEC sources report South Carolina players greatly encouraged by their valiant comeback try in 41-37 loss at
Georgia (trailed 38-23 in 3rd Q), failing to convert on 4th-down from the Bulldog 4-yd. line in the final minute. And
with ‘Cock HC Spurrier demanding a razor-sharp performance prior to visit from rising Ole Miss, compelled to lay 3
TDs vs. outmanned FAU, bereft of proven defensive playmakers (3 starters back; allowed 490 yds. in 49-3 blowout
at Nebraska). Expect USC’s evolving jr. QB Garcia (313 YP vs. Bulldogs) and his plethora of quality receivers to
play pitch-and-catch vs. vulnerable Owl 2ndary, with a RS frosh manning the key SS position. Meanwhile, Owls
stationary, pocket-passing 6-5 sr. QB R. Smith, who gave himself a failing grade for his Husker effort, unlikely to
have “passing” marks vs. aggressive USC stop unit, spearheaded by head-hunting LB Norwood. Spurrier trounced
the Owls 45-6 in 2006. Deja vu in 2009. Note, FAU 5-13 as DD road dog since ‘04.

================================================== ===========================================

TOTALS: UOVER (43½) in the Carolina-Atlanta game—Carolina “over” 8 of last 11 away; Falcons’ offense improved TY...UNDER (37½) in the
Cleveland-Denver game—Denver’s defense better than expected; QB Kyle Orton laboring.
NINE-RATED GAMES: NAVY (+8) at Pitt—Middies at their best as a road dog (31-16)...WESTERN MICHIGAN (-17) vs. Miami-O.—RedHawks
(outscored 90-0) still looking to “dent the dish” in 2009; Western back at home after two losses visiting Big Ten teams... KANSAS (-21) vs. Duke—
Jayhawks packing in the crowds in Lawrence; KU now 21-5 last 26 when favored...UAB (+7) at Troy—Blazers have the QB and coaching to exploit
Trojan defense that has suffered losses in the back seven...ATLANTA (-6½) vs. Carolina (NFL)—Falcs better-balanced on offense with TE Gonzalez
around; Panthers finding ways to self-destruct on offense.

 

[Henryjames]

News Letter Record Updated Week 2

CKO

CFB
11 1-1
10 2-5
NFL
10 1-0

Gold Sheet

CFB
KR 5-3
NFL
KR 3-0

Mark Lawrence

CFB
5* 1-1
4* 1-1
3* 1-1
GOW 1-1
NFL
5* 1-0
4* 1-0
3* 1-0

Pointwise

CFB
1 2-2
2 1 -2
3 1-1
4 2-1
5 3-1
NFL
3 0-2
4 1-1
5 0-1

Power Sweep

CFB
4* 2-0
3* 0-4
2* 3-3
UDPOTW 1-1
NFL
4* 1-0
3* 0-1
2* 1-1

Red Sheet

CFB
89 3-1
88 3-4
NFL
88 1-0

 

[Henryjames]

I had to correct an error everything should be ok.
CKO

CFB
11 1-1
10 2-5
NFL
10 1-0

Gold Sheet

CFB
KR 5-3
NFL
KR 3-0

Mark Lawrence ( missing issue one ) Results Issue 2-up

CFB
5* 1-1
4* 1-1
3* 1-1
GOW 1-1
NFL
5* 0-0-1
4* 1-0
3* 1-0
NFL Over/Under
5* 0-1
4* 0-1
3* 1-0

Pointwise

CFB
1 2-2
2 1 -2
3 1-1
4 2-1
5 3-1
NFL
3 0-2
4 1-1
5 0-1

Power Sweep

CFB
4* 2-0
3* 0-4
2* 3-3
UDPOTW 1-1
NFL
4* 1-0
3* 0-1
2* 1-1
NFL Over/Under
3* 0-3
2* 0-2

Red Sheet

CFB
89 3-1
88 3-4
NFL
88 1-0

 

[WINNERS_ONLY]

Gold Sheet Key Releases

NFL

ARIZONA by 7 over Jacksonville

CLEVELAND by 7 over Denver
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

UNDER THE TOTAL in the Indianapolis-Miami game

==============================================
NCAAF

INDIANA by 10 over Akron

AUBURN by 17 over West Virginia

SMU by 18 over Washington State

BUFFALO by 7 over UCF

 

[WINNERS_ONLY]

The Gold Sheet EXTRA!!!
VOLUME 28 SEPTEMBER 17-21, 2009 NUMBER 3
...featuring the
Technical Report

TECHNICAL PLAYS OF THE WEEK
NCAAF RELEASES

OKLAHOMA STATE
We know that Oklahoma State isn’t a happy bunch after losing to
heavy underdog Houston last week at Boone Pickens Stadium. We
also know that the Cougars are a dangerous team, something we
can’t say about this week’s visitor to Stillwater, the Rice Owls.
Indeed, the Owls have slipped from last year’s bowl season, blown
out while failing to cover their first two games vs. UAB and Texas
Tech while recording a poor “AFS” (Away From Spread) number of
-15.50, one of the worst 2-game marks in the nation. And we also
know the Cowboys can be quite a bully under HC Mike Gundy,
covering 12 of their last 14 as double-digit chalk, including 8 of their
last 9 in that role at home. Rice has also fallen to 2-5 vs. the line its
last 7 as a road dog after its opening defeats.

KENTUCKY
There’s been a not-so-subtle shift in the Bluegrass State “hate
series” between Louisville and Kentucky the past two years. After
watching the Cards mostly dominate action for much of the decade,
the Wildcats have bossed the last two meetings with wins and
covers, and will be looking for more of the same Saturday at
Commonwealth Stadium. Kentucky has also been trustworthy at
Lexington of late vs. non-SEC foes, covering 4 of its last 5
opportunities. Meanwhile, Louisville has mostly struggled vs. the line
since HC Steve Kragthorpe arrived in ‘07, covering only 8 of 22
chances on the board.

AIR FORCE
Series trends and recent performances present a very strong case
for Air Force when the hungry Falcons invade Albuquerque for a
Saturday Mountain West battle against New Mexico. It’s been all Air
Force in recent meetings, as the Falcs have covered five straight vs.
the Lobos. The Force is also a notable 16-9 vs. the line since HC
Troy Calhoun arrived in ‘07, and Calhoun has proven particularly
reliable as a favorite, covering in 9 of 11 chances. As for New
Mexico, the faltering Lobos have looked bad while losing and failing
to cover their first two, posting a woeful “AFS” (Away From Spread)
number of -18.50 in those lopsided defeats. And the New Mexico
pointspread lsoing streak is now at 4 games, reaching back into late
last season.

HAWAII
We’re picking our spots carefully with hometown UNLV, which, as
we expected provided good value last week vs. favorred Oregon
State. But we’re not about to trust the Rebels as a favrotie when they
host explosive Hawaii Saturday night at Sam Boyd Stadium. The
reason? Consider the Rebs’ subpar 2-6 chalk amrk in rare favorite
roles since HC Mike Sanford arrived in 2005. Indeed, the underdog
team is 16-7 vs. the line in UNLV home games in the Sanford era. In
this uncomforable chalk role, the Rebs are also a go-against play in
the Impotent Favorites system this week.

NFL

CLEVELAND - DENVER “UNDER”
There’s a new regime in Denver, and we’re rather bullish on the
“unders” for the Broncos until further notice. The “under” netted us a
Key Release winner in The Gold Sheet against Cincinnati last week
and we expect more of the same when Cleveland invades Invesco
Field for a Sunday AFC battle. “Under” has certainly been the call for
Browns “totals” action lately, as they’ve gone that way in1 5 of their
last 22 games, as well as 7 of their last 10 on the road. Denver is also
“under” 7 of its last 10 at home.

 

[USC_TheReal]

Thanks so much, Winners. If anyone has the pdfs, post em up. If not, no worries, the text will do. Preciate it. GL this weekend to everyone.

 

[RazorGus]

Powersweep

If anyone has Power Plays- much appreciated

4H UNLV over Hawaii - UH leads the series 12-6 SU and is 4-2-1 ATS vs LV, incl a current 3-1 run. UH has an edge on off (#48-71) but LV has the edge on def (#73-111) and ST (#72-118). UH finds itself in a similar situation here as in its last trip to Vegas (‘07) as the Warriors are again in the 2nd of B2B AG’s and stayed on the Mainland throughout the week. The Run-&-Shoot is back in gear at UH as QB Alexander is avg 379 ypg (69%) with a 6-1 ratio and also leads the team with 87 yds rush (4.6) and WR Salas has 14 rec (26.8!) and 2 TD and already has 375 yds in 2 gms (188 ypg). UH is 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS in the 2nd of B2B AG’s S/’05 and the Warriors are on a current 8-3 ATS run overall. LV has its MWC opener at WY on deck while UH has a bye. The Rebs are off a heart-breaking loss to Oreg St, losing on a 33 yd FG with :07 left. QB Clayton slightly injured his knee and left in the 4Q and UNLV rallied for 2 TD’s to go ahead 21-20 (4:16) behind bkup Clausen. Clayton is avg 192 ypg (72%) with a 2-1 ratio and his top target has been Wolfe with 14 rec (11.3). Clausen is experienced though, leading LV to a 2-1 record to end ‘08, so if Clayton is out (check status) the off will not miss a beat. This is LV’s 4th time S/’04 hosting 3 consec HG’s and the Rebs are 3-0 SU/ATS in that 3rd gm. With LW’s results there’s is added value which makes for a great Sept ember 5H. FORECAST: UNLV 41 Hawaii 23
3H TEXAS A&M over Utah St - Both schools are off a bye. A&M won a 4H on these pages 2W ago in dominant fashion beating up on NM 41-6 (-14’). Big difference from LY as A&M looked near perfect in Sherman’s West Coast system (606 yds) and smothering def (all’d just 231 yds). QB Johnson threw for 349 yds (76%) with a 2-0 ratio. Utah St hasn’t played in 16 days but looked good vs rival Utah (covered as 21 pt AD, trailed just 14-10 after 1Q). A&M has 16 ret sts and figures to use non-conf to gain confidence in the 2nd yr under Sherman. A&M is 12-2 SU and 7-4 ATS in non-conf HG’s winning by an avg of 29 ppg but will not take this game lightly after losing to Ark St and barely getting past Army at home in ‘08. Utah St is also a vet squad (16 ret sts) but like A&M LY are dealing with new schemes from a 1st yr HC. Utah St is 5-14 ATS as a dog vs BCS tms and has dropped 7 straight road gms (10-5 ATS as an AD). A&M wore down NM 2W ago and should do the same here in the heat and humidity of TX (avg temp high 80’s, low 70’s in Logan). A hungry team that needs big wins would make a great September GOM. FORECAST: TEXAS A&M 48 Utah St 20
3H Air Force over NEW MEXICO - The Lobos are not off to a good start in the Mike Locksley era losing both games by 30+ pts. We have gone against the Lobos twice this season using a 4H Key Selection on Texas A&M in the first week and a 2H Key Selection on Tulsa LW winning both easily as the Lobos are struggling offensively and defensively with new schemes. Meanwhile, AF is coming off a tough loss to Minny LW blowing a 7 pt lead in the second half and usually play well on the road early in the season going 8-1 SU and 9-0 ATS in the MWC road opener. AF has also won 4 of 5 vs NM. LY NM forced 3 early TO’s and led 10-0 about to go up 17-0 when they fumbled and AF returned it 96 yds for a TD. AF scored the final 23 pts. The Lobos usually hold AF well below their season avg rushing but that was under coach Rocky Long and he is now gone. LY under Long, the defense held AF to a season low 227 rush yds with just 3 pass att. The new DC Dickey hasn’t seen many option attacks in his career and may struggle here. The visitor is 8-4 ATS and AF has covered 5 straight. Troy Calhoun is 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS as an away fav. Air Force should continue the Lobos woes. FORECAST: Air Force 37 NEW MEXICO 10
OTHER SELECTIONS
2H FLORIDA over Tennessee - The Vols have avg’d just 41 rush ypg vs UF the last 3 years (-11, 37, 96). The team who has rushed for more yds has won 17 of the last 19. The Gators are 11-3-1 ATS S/’94 in their first SEC game. UF had a 3-0 TO edge and got a 78 yd PR TD from James to win 30-6 (-7’) LY and the FD’s were even at 16 and UT had a 258-243 yd edge. The Gators are the best team in the country and this is their only game in the month of Sept that matters especially after UT’s new coach Kiffin made some disparaging comments about Meyer in the offssn. UF (-7’) won their last HG vs UT by 39 and that UT team made it to the SEC Title game. UF has our #1 off and #1 def and #2 spec tms and faces UT’s #45 off, #10 def and #65 spec tms. UF’s Meyer can name the score here as UF is fresh off of 2 blowout wins (outscored Char So and Troy 118-9 and outgained them by an avg of 644-231) in which the subs did most of the work while UT lost a hard-fought battle with UCLA 19-15 last week and has to travel. UT had a 208-186 yd edge but a 4-1 TO deficit LW. QB Crompton has struggled under pressure and is avg 163 ypg (63%) with a 5-5 ratio (3 int and a fmbl lost LW) while Tebow is avg 213 ypg (64%) with a 5-0 ratio. All UF has done is cover 15 of 16 regular season games. Sounds like a September 5H, doesn’t it? FORECAST: FLORIDA 38 Tennessee 3
2H KENT ST over Iowa St - Kent St knows they can win this as they beat Iowa St 23-14 on the road in ‘07 and LY had a 480-374 yd edge but lost in a gm an upset coach Martin felt he had the stronger tm (4 fmbl and 2 blk punts vs them). ISU is just the 5th current BCS school to visit Dix Stadium S/’76. ISU is making their first road trip and are off of playing their rival Iowa (outgained by 123 yds w/6 TO’s). QB Arnaud is avg 153 ypg (52%) with a 2-4 ratio (all 4 int LW) and was pulled for rFr Tiller (PS#54). They have a new HC and lost 22 lett while Kent has just 13 lett lost. ISU has dropped 17 straight AG’s and are 0-4 ATS as a rare AF. This will be their 5th MAC opp over the L4Y and they have been outgained in 3 matchups. KSU has outgained and outFD’d ISU in 2 of those (+47 ypg). KSU was blasted by BC LW (outgained 349-179) and have its MAC opener on deck. QB Morgan is avg 120 ypg (59%) with a 0-3 ratio as KSU played 3 QB’s vs BC. RB Jarvis has 158 yds (4.3). With the Cyclones road struggles and the Flashes past success vs them, KSU will be very confident vs this BCS opponent. FORECAST: KENT ST 30 Iowa St 24
2H OKLAHOMA over Tulsa - Last gm in ‘07 saw a combined 83 pts and 951 yds and we won a Thurs Nite play on OU 63-21 (-23). The Sooners are on a 9-1 run vs TU with the avg MOV 36 ppg and they will be up for an in-state team that was 10-0 at one pt LY, especially since OU is off FCS Idaho St with only a bye on deck. Tulsa is on their 3rd str RG and all‘d 32 ppg on the road in ‘08 while OU scored 52 ppg at home LY (avg win 53-20). Both teams are off blowout wins as OU destroyed Idaho St 64-0 and TU got a solid road win over New Mexico 44-10. QB Kinne has taken the reins of TU’s high-powered offense and played mistake free LW. He threw for 310 yds (63%) with a 4-0 ratio as TU outgained NM 489-171. That may be the key for TU as OU looks to pound the ball with Heisman QB Bradford still sidelined. New starting QB Landry Jones settled in against the lesser foe and finished with 286 yds (56%) with a 3-1 ratio. OU had three RB’s with over 60 yds rushing with Murray leading the way (101, 8.4). There’s nothing wrong with the Sooners D (#2) which will keep the Hurricane at bay while Jones matures. FORECAST: OKLAHOMA 45 Tulsa 17
OTHER GAMES
Thursday Sept 17 - Georgia Tech at MIAMI, FL - GT is 4-0 SU/ATS in the series and piled up 472 yds rushing LY in a 41-23 rout. That game was played on an unusually chilly Atlanta night and it seemed to greatly affect the warm weather Miami bunch. The Hurricanes have revenge on their minds but the angles favor GT as the Yellow Jackets are 12-4-1 as an AD while Shannon is just 3-9 ATS as a HF. The Thursday Night Marquee Play Delivered Another Winner LW. Call 1-900-438-9467 after 3 pm ET and get the Thursday Night Winner for just $15 or $ave using your Northcoast Debit Card - just $9!
Friday Sept 18 - Boise St at FRESNO ST - WAC opener for both. The Broncos are 7-1 SU/ATS vs the Bulldogs. LY Fresno was the WAC preseason favorite to win the title even though they had to play at Boise and had never won an outright title. We picked Boise and the Broncos showed their superiority. BSU only led 13-10 at HT but then exploded in the 2H in a 61-10 (-21) victory. Boise has lost just 2 WAC gms since becoming a league member (‘01) and one was here in ‘05 (27-7, +9’), but they did win their last gm in Fresno in ‘07 by a 34-21 margin (-3). This is Boise’s road opener where they are 1-6-1 ATS but Fresno is only 1-5 SU/ATS as a HD over the L5Y. BSU is 8-0 SU (4-4 ATS) in WAC openers while FSU is 5-2 SU but only 1-5-1 ATS in WAC openers S/’02. Both tms are headed to Ohio next week as Boise travels to BG and Fresno heads to Cincy. Call 1-900-438-9467 after 3 pm ET and get the Friday Night Winner for just $15 or $ave using your Northcoast Debit Card - just $9!
Saturday Sept 19th - ARMY 27 Ball St 10 - Both are off disappointing losses. Army led Duke 10-0 in the 2Q and had 20-14 FD and 385-236 yd edges but gave up 2 IR TD’s. Ball St lost to a good New Hampshire team (was #9 FCS) but were shockingly outFD’d 16-9 and outgained 322-127. Ball St led 6-0 in the 1Q despite being outgained by 70 yds but gave up 16 unanswered points in the 2Q. Army was 1-3 SU (2-2 ATS) vs the MAC LY. Army’s top rusher is SB Mealy who has 208 yds (13.9). This is the first road start for Ball St’s young QB and OL which usually spells trouble especially vs an Army defense that already has 7 sks TY. The Cardinals’ QB Page is avg just 127 ypg (44%) with a 1-2 ratio, a far cry from LY’s QB Davis’ 257 ypg (64%, 26-8 ratio). RB MiQuale Lewis, who avg 124 ypg LY (5.4), is avg just 62 ypg (4.3) TY. While we rank the offenses close, Army has the def edge (#72-97).
PURDUE 41 N Illinois 24 - 1st meeting and both coaches previously came from the FCS ranks. Purdue has won 8 in a row SU vs the MAC (3-5 ATS) and while they have ND next week they should be motivated to face an ‘08 bowl team. LY NI almost beat Minny in the opener and gave Wisconsin a scare in this year’s opener as they were SOD after recovering an onside kick trailing by just 8 (+16’). The Huskies are only in an FCS/Idaho sandwich and have covered 3 straight vs BCS teams under HC Kill. The Boilermakers are off a 38-36 loss to Oregon as they failed on a 2pt conversion that would have tied the game with around 1:00 left. Purdue had 24-17 FD and 451-356 yd edges but gave up 2 TO’s for TD’s. Purdue has the off (#51-96) and def (#55-87) edges. The offense is led by QB Elliott, who avg 243 ypg (59%) with a 4-5 ratio and RB Bolden with 357 yds (7.1) and 4 TD. The Huskies are led by QB Harnish, who avg 159 ypg (66%) with a 2-0 ratio and RB Brown with 181 yds (7.2).
MICHIGAN 41 E Michigan 10 - Last met in ‘07 as UM led only 16-14 in the 3Q before winning 33-22, but EM has been shutout in 6 of 8 meetings (UM leads series 8-0 SU). The Wolves are 2-9 ATS as a DD non-conf fav but did cover vs WM in the opener. The Wolves are 4-0 ATS after ND and are off LW’s upset of the Irish in which ND had 27-21 FD and 490-430 yd edges but the Irish’s play calling left UM enough time to score the game-winning TD with :11 left. True frosh QB Forcier avg 210 ypg (68%) with a 5-1 ratio, incl a 31 yd TD run on 4&1 vs the Irish, which was the missing dimension in the Wolves’ offense LY. The Eagles flew back from a 21-0 2Q deficit to tie NW at 24 with 2:40 left before the Cats kicked a 49 yd FG with :11 left to drop EM’s all-time record vs the B10 to 0-25. QB Schmitt (166 ypg, 64%, 2-4 ratio) continues to struggle with the move away from the shotgun but RB Priest had 127 yd vs NW. EM’s HC English was UM’s DC under Carr (‘06-07) and wasn’t retained when Rod was hired. EM has a bye on deck. UM has huge edges (#19-80 off, #33-116 D) but will be tested in a flat spot as TW’s ‘it team’ with the B10 opener up next.
PITTSBURGH 27 Navy 20 - Visitor has covered 3 in a row but Navy is 4-8 SU/ATS vs BE tms. Pitt is just 3-8 ATS as a HF with SIX upset losses and Navy is 19-8 as an AD. LY was a 42-21 Pitt blowout that could’ve been worse as Pitt was about to go up 28-7 before Navy got a 90 yd IR TD. Navy got a garbage TD with :20 left and Pitt had a ssn high 499 yds. That was in stark contrast to ‘07 when Navy won here 48-45 in 2 OT’s with 331 yds rush (194 LY). LW, Pitt defeated Buff 54-27 despite being outgained 500-381 as Pitt scored 27 pts off 4 Buff TO’s. Pitt has found a replacement for #2 DC McCoy in true Fr Dion Lewis (PS#110) who is avg 160 ypg (7.2) with 4 TD. QB Stull is avg 148 ypg (70%) with a 5-1 ratio. Navy rallied from a 14-0 1Q deficit to defeat LA Tech 32-14. The Mids outgained LT 393-167 and outFD’d them 23-10. Navy nearly defeated Ohio St (outgained OSU 363-342) on the road in Wk 1 and has a winnable WKU game at home on deck. Pitt is 13-6 ATS off a SU win the L2Y and has NCSt on deck. Pitt has the edges on off (#39-85) and def (#26-81). Pitt does not have the bye week to prepare as they did the L/2Y but has one of the best DL in the nation and legitimate revenge here for the home loss in ‘07.
Northwestern 21 SYRACUSE 18 - NW has dropped 4 str ATS when visiting a non-conf foe incl Duke LY where they were outgained 472-328 and outFD’d 28-14. SU is 3-8 ATS as a HD but had beaten the Wildcats in 4 straight gms prior to LY’s 30-10 loss. NU dominated LY with a 484-225 yd edge and a 242-68 2H yd edge. LW SU was beaten, but not humiliated by #7 Penn St 28-7 (+29’), so they have covered the first 2 of a 3 gm stand vs the B10. QB Paulus alternated with rFr Nassib as they combined for 135 yds (72%) with a 1-2 ratio throwing short passes to slow down PSU’s rush. The Orange have yet to find their identity on offense TY avg 41 ypg less than LY, but the defense is all’g 95 rush ypg (2.8) and held PSU to 78 LW. LW NW was up 21-0 but needed a FG with :06 left to beat E Mich 27-24. NW is in similar situation returning just 17.9% of LY’s offense production. QB Kafka is avg 175 ypg (66%) and RB Simmons is avg 75 ypg (4.8). The off are similar (NW #95-102) but NW has the edge on def (#48-65) as they return 8 incl All-B10 DE Wootton. Syracuse has the home edge and this is only the 4th time in 4 years that the Cats have been an AF.
CLEMSON 30 Boston College 13 - BC had won 5 in a row in this series but Spiller had a schl rec (for RB) 105 yds rec and then-interim HC Swinney got his 1st win 27-21 (+3’) on the road. This matchup has been decided by a ttl of 13 pts the L4Y. In last trip here, #18 BC upset #15 CU 20-17 on a 43 yd TD pass w/1:43 left, stealing the Atl Div Title. BC has a 2 QB’s still trying to determine a starter and they’re making their 1st road trip to a very hostile place. BC is 11-2 ATS as an AD but does have their 3rd HC in 4Y. BC posted their 2nd str lopsided win LW vs a non-BCS. QB’s Shinskie and Tuggle have comb for 389 yds (43%) with a 5-1 ratio. RB Harris has rushed for 181 (5.3). CU is 4-11 ATS as an ACC HF. LW WR Ford and RB Spiller showed their blazing spd after GT had taken a 24-0 lead thanks to 2 ST’s scores as Spiller took off for a 63 yd TD pass and Ford went 77 yds for a TD (both track tm). QB Parker is avg 210 ypg (47%) with a 5-2 ratio. RB Spiller has 99 rush yds (4.1) and 4 rec (17.3) despite missing most of the opener. WR Ford has 8 rec (22.4).
PENN ST 30 Temple 6 - Five members of the TU staff incl HC Golden played under Paterno. PSU has faced Temple the L3Y winning by a combined 123-3. LY Temple lost their starting QB in the 1st series and PSU had a 338-32 yd edge at half delivering a 3H Key Selection. PSU does have a HUGE revenge game vs Iowa on deck while Temple is off a bye, but may want to stay healthy with a MAC matchup with Buffalo on deck. The Lions are 19-8 ATS as a DD fav but 0-2 TY after LW’s 28-7 win over Syracuse in which PSU outgained (318-200) and outFD’d (23-13) the Orange. SU’s lone TD come on a 1 pl, 16 yd pass with 4:23 left after a fmbl by Lions true frosh backup QB Newsome. The OL has failed to get a push for the 2nd game in a row (#94 NCAA 107 rush ypg, 3.3) vs the BE’s #7 DL and the MAC’s #2 DL (Temple is MAC’s #1 DL). The Owls have had 16 days to prep for this after their last second loss to the FCS’s #3 team, Villanova, in the opener in which they blew a 10 pt 4Q lead. QB Charlton threw for 317 yd vs the Cats but also tossed 3 int, incl 1 which set up Nova’s gm winning FG.
N CAROLINA 20 E Carolina 13 - Last met in ‘07 as EC QB Pinkney threw for 406 yds and 3 TD in his 1st start as the Pirates won 34-31 in Butch Davis’ first loss here (31-34, +5’). It was only EC’s 2nd win in 11 tries vs the Heels. NC is 10-22 ATS as a HF and does have a big ACC game at GT on deck. EC got a lot or recognition for their upsets of WV and VT LY so NC should be fully focused. Holtz is an outstanding 13-4 as an AD with 7 upsets. #24 UNC is off a 12-10 come-from-behind win over Conn. The Heels trailed 10-0 heading into the 4th, but rallied to escape with the road win. They outgained Conn 268-196 and a UC safety (hold in EZ) with 1:32 left ensured the win. NC QB Yates was 22-32 for 233 with a 1-2 ratio, but NC only rushed for 35 yds on 38 carries (0.9). EC is off a disappointing 35-20 loss at WV. The Pirates got out to a 10-0 lead, but were shutout in the 2H and were outgained 509-237 on the game. Pinkney has struggled 2 weeks in a row and is avg just 153 ypg (42%) with a 2-3 ratio. Offenses are even, but NC has a solid def edge (#14-59). EC was just 1-2 SU/ATS vs the ACC LY, but both losses were as a fav and the visitor has covered in 3 straight. Holtz always has his team ready to play these games so expect the Pirates to keep it close.
W MICHIGAN 37 Miami, Oh 9 - Last met in ‘06 with WM winning on a FG with 1:16 left at home despite a 27-16 FD edge. This is WM’s home opener. Miami has yet to score a point this year and has given up a combined 90 pts in the first 2 games. Both teams come in 0-2 and while WM has been outgained by an avg 111 ypg, Miami has been outgained by an avg 274 ypg which is more than the 191 ypg they avg on offense. Miami QB Raudabaugh is avg 141 ypg (49%) with an 0-4 ratio and their top rusher Andre Bratton has just 37 yds (5.3). WM QB Hiller is avg 263 ypg (52%) with a 2-2 ratio but top rusher RB West has just 78 yds (2.9). WM rates the edges on off, def and ST’s and only has Hofstra on deck while Miami is in the middle of a 3 game road trip.
VANDERBILT 31 Miss St 14 - Last year Vandy was 5-0 and #13 in the country coming into this gm and we used a 4H LPS on a 1-4 Miss St team at home and they pulled the outright upset (+2’) with a 249-107 yd edge. Vandy is 2-14 SU in SEC home openers, but won LY, 24-17 over SC. VU is off a hard-fought 23-9 loss (+14) to LSU in the rain. LSU led 16-9 in the 4Q and the Tigers only had a 326-210 yd edge. VU lost RT James Williams (brkn ankle) LW. QB Larry Smith avg 121 ypg (50%) with a 1-1 ratio. True frosh RB Zac Stacy (222, 5.6) leads VU in rushing. MSU is 1-6 ATS as an AD and on their 2nd str road game. LW we won a 3H LPS by going against MSU and Aub (-14’) won 49-24 with a 589-297 yd edge. MSU all’d 390 rush yds (6.6) to Aub and VU is avg 278 rush ypg (5.1). MSU RB Dixon ret’d from susp LW with 92 rush yds (4.6). Lee (75 ypg, 63%, 1-0 ratio) has split time at QB with bkup Relf (76 ypg, 57%, 1-0 ratio, 134 rush, 7.1). They are a rebuilding team with just 10 ret sts and a new HC. Vandy is a veteran squad (17 ret sts) that is playing its first legitimate revenge game in years and they have a large edge on def (#28-73). Vandy is just 5-12 as a HF and has only been a SEC HF twice in the L2Y (1-1 SU/ATS).
COLORADO 34 Wyoming 17 - CU coach Hawkins is on the hottest of hot seats coming off losses to rival Colorado St and Toledo. Hawkins was 2-0 vs WY (avg win by 19) when at Boise. CU is at home with a bye on deck. While a big win is needed the offense has struggled, with QB Hawkins comp just 52% with a 5.6 ypa. Wyoming played well early against Texas last week and actually led 10-7 late in the 2Q before eventually losing 41-10. Wyoming is a veteran squad especially up front on the DL but the pass D has allowed 338 ypg (63%) the first 2. Colorado has had problems running the football avg 2.5 ypc and the OL has all’d 7 sacks. WY HC Christensen was Missouri’s OC and scored 55 and 58 vs the Buffs’ D the last two years and the Buffs have just 4 sts back on D. WY is just 3-10 as an AD and while they struggled early away LY, getting outscored 122-7, keep in mind they did knock off Tenn as a 27 pt dog.
IOWA 16 Arizona 10 - The Cats’ last trip to B10 country was a 59-7 loss at Purdue in ‘03. Last met in ‘98, a 35-11 UA win. Iowa beat the only P10 team to travel to Kinnick recently Ariz St 21-2 (-7’) in ‘03. Iowa is 0-5 ATS vs non-conf at home laying 22 or less. Iowa is 0-3-1 ATS the week after beating rival Iowa St. AZ is 1-6-1 ATS vs non-conf BCS teams and 0-7 SU and 1-6 ATS in road openers. AZ QB Scott (176 ypg, 66%, 1-2 ratio) makes his 1st road start in an intimidating venue. The undervalued Cats have outgained their 1st 2 foes by 299.5 ypg but only outscored them by a combined 30 pts. In LW’s 34-17 win over N Ariz the Cats had a 27 yd FG blk’d and a 57 yd KR and an int set up 10 Lumberjacks pts. Cats RB Grigsby has 325 (8.6). UI capitalized on 6 Iowa St TO’s to crush their rivals 35-3 as a 2H on these pages. ISU set up 4 of UI’s TD’s with an onside K and 3 TO’s which led to scoring drives of 41, 24, 48 and 58. The Hawks have been without 2 starting OL in the 1st 2 (All B10 LT Bulaga may return here) but the run game was revitalized LW under true frosh VHT Wegher (PS#5) with 101 yd. This should be an emotional home coming for AZ HC Stoops who played and began his coaching career (on same staff as Ferentz from ‘86-89) here under Hayden Fry.
AKRON 27 Indiana 20 - In their only other meeting in ‘07 QB Lewis rushed for career high 199 yds as Indy scored 2 TD’s in last 6:25 to pull away for a 41-24 win. This should be an electric night for the Zips as it is the first ever B10 team to travel to Akron and their first FBS foe in their brand new Infocision Stadium. The Zips opened their new home last week in front of a near sellout (27,881) and dominated Morgan St with a 23-3 FD and 436-127 yd edge. Indiana held off a WM comeback LW and outgained the Broncos 372-288. Indy is 3-7-1 ATS in non-conf AG and 2-6-1 ATS in their 1st road game. Last year the Zips beat Syracuse on the road and have covered 4 straight games vs BCS foes. Indiana QB Chappell is avg 256 ypg (70%) with a 1-2 ratio, while RB McCray leads with 183 yds (6.1). Akron QB Jacquemain is avg 160 ypg (59%) with a 4-1 ratio, while the Zips top 2 backs Rodgers and Martin have combined for 129 yds (10.8) and the Zips have a top-notch DL. One thing to keep in mind is that MAC, SBC and CUSA teams are just 10-22 ATS as favs vs BCS teams.
KANSAS 38 Duke 10 - 1st meeting. Kansas is 18-2 SU and 11-4 ATS in non-conf with their avg win by 38-14. They are 16-6 as a HF and this is a rare trip to the midwest for Duke. Duke does have just 11 ret sts and 26 lett lost while Kansas has 14 sts back. In their two recent bowl seasons KU has won their non-conf HG’s by an avg of 46-7. KU took care of UTEP on the road LW (576-208 yd edge) and they play much better in Lawrence. QB Reesing is avg 234 ypg (62%) with a 3-1 ratio. RB Sharpe has 227 yds (6.1). Duke did beat Army LW despite being outgained 385-236 (2 IR TD by Sr Wright) and could be 2-0 (did outgain Richmond, FCS National Champs 2W ago 369-282). QB Lewis is avg 205 ypg (55%) with a 3-0 ratio but PS#16 Sean Renfree (7-8, 106 yds and 2-0 ratio) came off the bench for a spark. Duke is 19-9 as a DD AD (13-5 as an 8+ AD). KU has the off edge (#18-90) and should take care of things at home vs a Duke squad that is 0-9 SU and 1-8 ATS with an avg score of 44-10 vs ranked opponents.
SOUTHERN MISS 34 Virginia 13 - 1st meeting. Virginia is 2-6 in road openers with 3 straight losses by 27 ppg. Al Groh is 16-27 ATS on the road but they do have a bye on deck. Virg does have just 11 ret sts and avg just 13 ppg on the road in ‘08 while SMiss has 19 ret sts and this is their biggest HG in the 1H of the year as this is only the 6th time SMiss has hosted a BCS school S/’01. SM is 3-2 SU (2-3 ATS) in those games, beating Okla St, Illinois and NCSt. SMiss does have a big game on deck on the road vs #24 Kansas. The Eagles are off a 26-19 win over CUSA rival UCF. SM controlled the action, outgaining UCF 409-194, but they couldn’t put the Knights away. The D was stellar, holding UCF to just 15 rush yds (0.6). RB Fletcher hit the century mark (103, 4.9) for the 2nd week in a row and WR DeAndre Brown caught 7 for 75 in his 1st game back after a broken leg in LY’s bowl game. Groh is definitely feeling the heat at UVA. The Cavs are off to another slow start (0-2) after a 30-14 home loss to TCU. UVA got 2 4Q TD’s to make the score look respectable. The Cavs were outgained 380-177 and were outFD’d 23-7. QB Sewell did play the entire game after 3 QB’s saw action in the opening loss to FCS W&M. SM should have another sellout at “The Rock” and Groh’s seat should continue to get hotter as we expect the Eagles to stay ahead of the line.
OREGON 24 Utah 21 - Oregon has had a disappointing start to the season getting embarrassed at Boise St and getting outgained by 95 yds at home against Purdue. They did of course lose their star RB Blount for the season after his well-publicized post-game antics at Boise but still gained 193 (4.7) rush LW. Oregon, however, will be well motivated for the team that finished undefeated and #2 in the country LY. Utah has the nation’s longest winning streak at 16 games and is coming off a road win at San Jose St in which they were tied with the Spartans 7-7 going into the 4Q as we won the Underdog POW on these pages on SJSt. UO is 29-2 at home vs non-conf but that was under past HC Bellotti. Utah has struggled on the road in big games and has lost their last 2 trips to P10 schools by an avg of 27-8 (avg line +5), but did win at Mich (3-9 tm) in ‘08. Oregon does have Cal at home on deck. Utah JC AA QB Cain was solid (248, 56%) LW but was assisted by a rush attack that gained 251 (6.3) and has yet to face a BCS defense.
Usc 34 WASHINGTON 21 - New UW HC Sarkisian helped the Huskies earn their 1st win in 16 tries LW vs Idaho as QB Locker (287 ypg, 60%, 5-1 ratio) has proven to be a legit passing threat over the L2W in the new Husky offense. Sarkisian was the Trojans’ OC the L2Y so he has great knowledge of the USC players and preparation. LY in the 1st gm after the announcement of Willingham’s termination, USC shutout UW 56-0 at the Coliseum as the Huskies failed to get past the Trojan 45. USC is just 1-6 ATS in P10 road openers and is off their huge, last minute win in Columbus as true frosh QB Barkley (195 yds, 48%, 1-1 ratio) matured quickly against a stellar OSU def (lost LY at Oregon St as a 25 pt fav the week after Ohio St). The Trojan def has been dominant the L2Y as they have kept 7 of their L/10 opp under 200 yds incl surrendering just 184 to UW LY. They are, however, just 2-7 ATS in the 2nd of B2B RG’s, and meet an energized UW program that is the most improved team in the country.
UCLA 27 Kansas St 10 - 1st meeting. This is a strange non-conf matchup (just 6th trip to CA, outscored 112-52) for K-St as it was made prior to HC Snyder returning as he prefers to play creampuffs prior to diving into B12 play (just 3rd non-conf BCS RG in 8 yrs). The Cats have looked dismal over the 1st 2 wks of the ssn incl an embarrassing loss at ULL LW and have now scored just 36 pts vs FCS UMass and the Cajuns combined!! UCLA pulled out the big upset in Knoxville vs UT LW thanks to 4 Vol TO’s (UT outFD’d and outgained UCLA). RFr Prince managed the gm well despite subpar numbers (101 yds, 48%) and appeared to be what the Bruin coaches are looking for before breaking his jaw (out 3-4 wks). Either 2008 starter Craft or frosh Brehaut will get the call vs K-St. Both tms made our most improved list to begin ‘09 but UCLA has a substantial def advantage (#13-50), is 15-6-1 ATS prior to a bye and are on a 12-4 ATS run as a HF giving them the nod in this one.
VIRGINIA TECH 27 Nebraska 20 - LY VT lead 28-10 late 3Q before NU’s late comeback fell short (fmbl on VT44 w/:05 left). Tyrod Taylor threw for 171 and rushed for 87. That was a rare trip to the Midwest for VT and now the Huskers are on a rare trip to the East Coast and their Big Red faithful might have a tough time gobbling up tickets in Blacksburg. The Hokies have beaten the L/10 current non-conf BCS tms to visit by an avg of 20 ppg. VT is 3-7-1 as a HF. The Huskers were 2-1 as an AD LY in Pelini’s 1st season. VT was outgained 498-155 in their first BCS game TY vs Bama. Although VT topped Marshall LW 52-10, QB Taylor started out slowly going 0-4 with an int but got his rhythm back (161, 2 TD). On the year, he is avg 126 ypg (50%) with a 2-1 ratio. RB Williams has been solid rushing for 235 yds (8.1, 5 TD) and 3 rec (26.0). Neb RB Helu has 212 rush yds (7.1). QB Lee has passed for 553 (74%) with a 6-1 ratio but is inexperienced, making his first road start in a very hostile environment while facing a solid defense.
NOTRE DAME 34 Mich St 17 - The visitor had won 7 in a row SU prior to LY’s MSU 23-7 win in East Lansing. ND had 3 TO’s deep in MSU terr and missed 2 FG’s. ND has faced the Spartans 8 straight years after playing Mich. MSU’s 6 str wins in South Bend is a record for an Irish opponent. Both teams were upset victims LW with the Irish allowing Michigan to drive 57 yd for the gm winning TD with :11 left after Weis called 2 passes in the series prior which saved UM 2 TO’s. The Irish finished with 27-21 FD and 490-430 yd edges and allowed a 94 yd KR TD. QB Clausen is #3 NCAA pass eff avg 326 ypg (66.7%) with a 7-0 ratio. WR Floyd (11, 320) is #2 NCAA rec ypg despite missing the last 6:22 LW while getting stitches in his knee. CM scored 9 pts in the final :40 capping a 72 yd TD drive, rec an onside kick missing a 47 yd FG but getting a 2nd chance to hit the gm winning 42 yd FG with :03 left to beat MSU for the 1st time S/’92. The Chips finished with 27-17 FD, 33:25-26:35 TOP and 418-316 yd edges. Cousins is #6 NCAA in pass eff avg 174 ypg (66%) with a 4-0 ratio despite being victimized by several drops. He QB’d the entire 2H LW and is likely to get his 1st road start here. The Irish have edges on both sides (#4-57 off) and (#21-29 D) and need to snap MSU’s streak if Weis wants to stay on the Irish sidelines.
† Ohio St 44 Toledo 23 (Cleveland) - Last met in ‘98, OSU 49-0 (-37). This is a HG for Toledo but Cleveland is Tressel’s hometown and 90% of the crowd should be in Scarlet and Gray. Toledo does have a great situation as they are off an impressive Friday night whipping of Colorado (we had an easy Friday Night Marquee Winner on the Over) and catches OSU off of their last minute loss to USC with the B10 opener vs IL on deck. OSU is 14-3 as an AF. New UT HC Beckman was OSU’s DB coach in ‘05 and ‘06 and he has a veteran QB in Opelt who avg 371 ypg (62%) with a 7-2 ratio. The Rockets’ D is T-#2 NCAA with 6 int. OSU allowed true frosh QB Barkley to lead the Trojans 86/14pl scoring the gm winning TD with 1:05 left and also all’d Navy 2 late TD’s to nearly tie it up. The Bucks were outFD’d 18-10 and outgained 313-265 LW as OSU had just 90 yds after taking a 10-7 2Q lead. OSU has to focus on the run gm which is #81 NCAA (121 ypg, 3.5). UT should be confident after knocking off Colorado and beating Michigan in the Big House LY. OSU won two 5H’s for us in ‘08 and could we use them again?
AUBURN 38 W Virginia 20 - Last year Auburn led by 14, recovered the onside kick and appeared in control but WV went back to their bread and butter rush attack in the 2H led by QB White and RB Devine (207 yds) to win at home 34-17. This is QB Brown’s 1st road start and Auburn is playing with legitimate revenge after WV scored 31 unanswered points. LW WV overcame a 10 pt deficit, 11 penalties and 4 TO’s to defeat EC 35-20. The WV offense was led by Brown who threw for a career high 334 yds (77%) with a 5-1 ratio and had 73 rush yds (7.3). RB Devine (PS#2) is avg just 96 ypg (5.3). WV lost DT Berry, DE Miller and LB Williams in the 1H (check status). LW we won our 3H LPS and 3H Total on the Over as Aub defeated Miss St 49-24 (-14’). TY the Tigers have bought into the offensive scheme as they rolled up 589 yds (390 rush, 6.6) and scored their most pts in an SEC game S/’05. Aub was on a 2-12 ATS run as a DD fav but is 2-0 TY, while WV has not been in a dog role in the reg ssn since ‘06 (a loss). Aub has the off edge over WV (#27-43) and while the def are about even (WV#29-37) WV’s ST continue to be a problem giving Aub the #31-101 edge. This is AU’s 3rd of a 4 game home stand and the Tigers will benefit from Bama weather (50’s LY) avenging LY’s loss.
Smu 35 WASH ST 20 - 1st meeting. Wash St has won 11 straight vs non-conf teams in Pullman by an avg of 25 ppg. These two combined for a 1-22 record vs FBS teams in ‘08 but both are much improved. Only 1 of Wash St’s losses was by less than 25 while SMU had 4 losses by 7 or less and almost beat Houston and Tulsa in CUSA play, but blew late leads. The Mustangs are off a huge road win at UAB (4H LPS Winner) that snapped a 21 game losing streak to FBS schools. SMU jumped out to a 28-7 1H lead and withstood a furious Blazer rally stopping a 2pt conv with :13 left for a 35-33 win. The Mustangs ended up being outgained slightly (448-437) but forced 5 Blazer TO’s. SMU now has 9 int in 2 games (8 all of LY). QB Mitchell threw for 353 (60%) and 3 TD, but did throw 2 int. WSU fell to Hawaii 38-20 in a “neutral” game (Seattle). The Cougs trailed 35-6 at the half and were outgained 626-403 on the night. The lone bright spot for the Cougars was RB Montgomery who rushed for 118 (6.9). This is the 2nd of B2B road games for the Mustangs who are an AF for just the 3rd time S/‘03, but they do have a bye on deck. WSU has mighty USC on deck, so they see this as their best chance for an early season win. WSU all’d 489 pass yds to a similar Run n’ Shoot attack LW, and SMU now has some swagger, so expect Wazzou’s losing woes to continue
San Diego St 30 IDAHO 23 - SDSt leads the series 2-1 SU/ATS. The HT is 3-0 SU/ATS in this series (‘96, ‘02 and ‘06). This is UI’s home opener in the Kibbie Dome, which is in stark contrast from the sunshine and grass field of the NFL’s Qualcomm Stadium that the Aztecs call home. The Vandals are hosting just their 3rd non-conf FBS game in the L/5Y having gone 0-2 SU/ATS in such a matchup with losses to NI in ‘07 (42-35, -3) and WM in ‘08 (51-28, +8). UI is on a 6-2 ATS run after ending a 4-18 ATS skid from mid-’06 thru mid-’08 and the Vandals are on a current 3-0 ATS run at home. SDSt has the edge on off (#92-107), def (#95-112) and ST (#67-111). LY SDSt led 38-3 after 3Q outgaining UI 603-351 in a 45-17 win (-11’). SDSt QB Lindley hit 24-38 for 433 yds and 4 TD and the Aztecs picked off three passes. SDSt is just 5-25 SU on the road (lost L/8) and 0-3 ATS as an AF over 6 yrs. The Aztecs haven’t been an AF S/‘07 and haven’t covered as one S/‘03. Idaho has a trip to NI on deck while SDSt has its MWC opener at Air Force up next.
Nevada 34 COLORADO ST 17 - CSU leads the series 8-1 SU but is 3-5 ATS. The Rams won all 8 meetings prior to their 28-10 loss (+3) in Reno in ‘06 in the last meeting. UN has the edge on off (#28-98) but CSU has the edge on ST (#103-115). Nevada’s “pistol” offense is capable of piling up lots of yds and pts and features a dual-threat QB, ‘08 WAC Off POY Kaepernick and two RB’s (Taua and Lippincott) who have led the WAC in rushing in each of the L/2Y. UN is coming fresh off a bye, however, following a 35-0 shutout loss in the season opener at Notre Dame where the Wolf Packsuffered just its second shutout loss in 343 gms (S/’80). UN was dead last in the NCAA pass D in ‘08 allowing 312 ypg and the Irish threw for 322 yds and 4 TD, incl strikes of 70 and 88 yds. UN is looking to rebound from an 0-4 ATS skid and has lost 3 of its L/4 gms SU. CSU started its season off with a bang defeating in-state rival Colo 23-17 (+10) in Boulder marking the first time the Rams won a game there in 23 yrs, but CSU needed a 4Q TD to squeak past FCS Weber St LW by 1 (24-23). The Rams have won 5 consec gms for the first time S/’02 and are 6-2 in gms decided by one score or less (8 pts) under 2nd yr HC Fairchild. CSU is on a 5-1 ATS run going 4-2 SU during that stretch. UN has a home game with Missouri on deck while CSU has its MWC opener at BYU up next.
MARSHALL 31 Bowling Green 21 - Marshall was 4-2 vs BG in MAC play from (‘97-’04). BG is 19-8 after a loss. Marshall has 16 ret sts and has bowl aspirations and BG has exceeded expectations early as they have just 10 ret sts and a new HC. This is in the 2nd straight AG for BG, as the Falcons are off a strong showing at Mizzou. BG led most of the game before the Tigers scored 14 unanswered in the 4Q to get a 27-20 win. BG was only outgained 353-320 by a Mizzou tm that put up 442 yds and 37 pts vs Illinois in the opener. BG Sr QB Sheehan is avg 273 ypg (68%) with a 3-1 ratio and RB Geter has 148 (5.1). MU hung tough in the 1Q vs 14th ranked VTech, but the Herd was outscored 28-7 in the 2Q and lost 52-10. MU allowed a school-record 444 yds on the ground (8.4) and were outgained 605-252. The lone bright spot for the Herd was RB Darius Marshall who returned from a 1 game suspension and rushed for 109 (6.4), incl a 61 yd TD jaunt. BG has a huge home game vs a ranked Boise squad on deck and Marshall needs a win before heading into conf play (Memphis), so we like a Marshall squad that is 8-2-1 as a home dog since 1999.
UNDERDOG PLAY OF THE WEEK
Over the past 26 years this play has been a reader favorite hitting 185-131. Over the L/9Y the Underdog Play of the Week has recorded 32 OUTRIGHT UPSET WINNERS to the incredible record! Here is this week's Underdog Play:
Troy will be glad to have its first home game after two tough road trips. The Trojans are 18-0 in home openers under HC Blakeney. These 2 are locked at 3 games apiece, UAB defeated Troy 21-3 (Troy just 126 yds 1st 3Q’s) in 2006 and won at Troy 27-7 in ‘05. Troy is off Florida with their SBC opener on deck vs a prime contender. This is UAB’s first road game but they have vet QB Webb and 18 ret sts but they are just 2-19 SU on the road (13-14 ATS). UAB has the edge on off (#44-79) but Troy has large edges on defense (#81 vs #110) and ST’s (#12 vs #120). Troy did win all of their HG’s by DD in ‘08 with the avg home win of 40-9. Troy has been outscored 80-6 the last 6 quarters. LW in a 35-33 loss to SMU, UAB had 5 turnovers (4 int, 1 fmbl), incl an int in the EZ, and had a PAT blk'd, forcing them to go for 2 late in the game. UAB finished with a 448-437 yd edge. They are now back in their preferred role as an underdog and they have the talent to get this outright win. An upset here would make a nice September Game of the Month!!!
OTHER COLLEGE GAMES CONT
California 35 MINNESOTA 13 - Cal catches the Gophers off an emotional win over AF in the 1st ever game at TCF Bank Stadium with their B10 (NW) opener on deck. The Gophers trailed AF 10-3 into the 4Q LW when LB Triplett got a 52 yd FR TD in the game’s key play. AF was also SOD on 4&1 at the UM9 in the 1H as the Gophers were outFD’d (24-14) and outrushed 261-108. UM switched offenses to beef up the run gm but are #91 in NCAA with 110 rush ypg (3.9) with QB Weber looking uncomfortable under C (234, 55%, 1-1 ratio). The Bears have outscored their opp 111-20 in their 2-0 start. QB Riley is #8 in NCAA pass eff (223, 65%, 5-0 ratio) while RB Best is #6 in NCAA with 280 yd (10.4!). Cal is 2-6 ATS (6-4 SU) the week before its P10 opener but is 7-1 ATS pre-Oregon. While UM is 18-3 SU at home vs non-conf this is the 1st BCS school to visit S/’97. Cal is 5-0 SU vs B10 with their avg win by 16 ppg and in ‘06 they whipped Minn at home 42-17 (-8) as a 4H Key Selection winner. Minny is 3-8 as a HD but Cal is 1-7 as an AF and this is their 1st road game. Tedford is 2-16 ATS as a DD fav. This game is being played at 9 am PT which slowed the Bears LY when they were upset at Maryland.
UCF 24 Buffalo 13 - UCF was a member of the MAC from ‘02-‘04 and went 2-1 vs the Bulls in that span and 5-1 all-time. UCF is 9-3 SU and 6-4-1 ATS in Bright House Stadium. Buffalo was a team that caught some good fortune and won the MAC LY. They make a rare trip to Florida and have their MAC opener on deck while UCF is in a CUSA sandwich. Turner Gill is 15-5 as an AD and the Bulls have covered 9 straight regular season road games (5-4 SU). UCF was outFD’d 23-11 and outgained 384-194 by SM LW but scored late thanks to a KR to the SM5 which set up a TD with 1:22 left. The Bulls had 25-19 FD and 500-381 yd edges over Pitt but had 4 TO incl a FR for a TD. UCF is led by QB Hodges, who avg 144 ypg (58%) with a 3-1 ratio coming off the bench the L/2W and their top rusher is RB Harvey with 148 (3.3). Buffalo is led by QB Maynard, who avg 280 ypg (67%) with a 5-1 ratio and their top rusher is RB Thermilus with 128 (3.3). While the Bulls have a slight offensive edge (#105-116) but UCF has a big defensive edge (#54-93).
OKLAHOMA ST 51 Rice 6 - Rice is 0-15 SU with 7 straight ATS losses vs B12 teams with their avg score 46-14. OSU is taking a big step down in competition after facing Georgia and Houston and only have Grambling and a bye on deck. Rice is on the tail end of a 3 game road trip and lost most of their star players from LY’s 10-3 team. OSU QB Robinson is avg 188 ypg (55%) with a 3-1 ratio. WR Bryant has 8 rec (20.3). OSU surprisingly lost at home LW vs Houston allowing 512 yds and their offense has been held in check in the 1H the L2W. To make matters worse RB Hunter (104 yds, 3.3) was inj prior to HT (check status). Rice has allowed 516+ yds and 44+ pts in their 1st two gms (560 allowed LW vs B12 TT). QB Shepherd has just 235 ttl yds and has been splitting snaps with Fanuzzi. Cowboy HC Gundy is 9-3 as a HF and 2 of the losses are by a combined 2 pts. OSU has huge off (#7-114), def (#36-113), and ST (#26-80) edges. Bad spot for the Owls as the Cowboys need to get the bad taste out of their mouth and should roll here vs a Rice squad 0-5 SU/ATS vs ranked foes allowing 51+ IN EVERY gm (avg score 54-10).
BAYLOR 34 Connecticut 13 - LY QB Griffin (PS#34) made his 1st road start on a Fri Night game in a cross country trip to Conn and did well (4 ttl TD) as Baylor (+13) led 28-24 mid-4Q and had a 377-340 yard edge. This time Griffin is exp and Baylor has 16 ret sts, is off a bye and catches UC in an unusual trip to Texas (lost to SMU 30-31 ‘89). LW UC gave up 12 4Q pts incl a GW safety with 1:32 left in their 12-10 loss to NC. The Huskies lost their QB Frazer 3Q with a knee injury and UC may be playing w/o their top LB Lutrus (check status). The UC def is all’g 258 ypg and will have to carry the team as the new offense develops. After rushing for 259 (5.3) in Wk 1 UC ran for 72 (2.1) LW. Baylor had a 17 pt 3Q lead and held on to defeat Wake on the road 24-21 (+2’) in Wk 1 outgaining the Deacons 366-269. Griffin threw for 136 (63%) with a 1-0 ratio and rushed for 41 (3.2) while RB Finley had 91 yds (6.5). Although nearly even on def (UC #41-45), Baylor has the off edge (#42-96) as well on ST’s (#15-69). Baylor returns three 1st Tm B12 defenders and 8 starters on defense. Conn is 1-7 as an AD and 0-4 SU/ATS traveling to the deep south being outscored 18 ppg. This is Baylor’s home opener (4-0 as HF) so the crowd will be excited as the Bears look to avenge LY’s loss.
KENTUCKY 24 Louisville 16 - This game is played for the Governor’s Cup and has huge stakes in terms of recruiting. UL is 7-3 in this series (visitors 9-6 SU) but the Cats have won the last 2 (both outright upsets). UK has never beaten UL 3 years in a row. Last year UL failed to score a TD for the 1st time since 2000 and UK (+3) won 27-2 despite only a 210-205 yd edge. Both teams are off a bye. In week 1, UK dominated Miami OH 42-0 with a 488-188 yd edge. UK QB Hartline threw for a solid 222 (67%) with a 2-0 ratio. UL beat FCS Indiana St 30-10 with a 419-101 yd edge. UL QB Justin Burke (PS#12, NCSt transfer) will make his 1st road start and threw for 223 yds (55%) but with an 0-2 ratio in the opener. Burke missed his 1st 8 passes but hit 17 of 23 after that. UL has 3 DL returning this week (missed opener). UK is on a 1-5 run as a HF and in this series UK has only been favored twice the L10Y and lost both outright.
BYU 37 Florida St 20 - These 2 have met twice, both BYU losses in ssn opening Pigskin Classics in ‘91 and ’00. BYU is 5-3 SU hosting BCS teams inc winning the L/2 by a combined 79-7. FSU is making a rare trip into altitude coming from sea level and traveling almost 2,100 miles. They have just 5 starters back on D and only 3 scholarship Sr’s on off. FSU had a short week LW and it showed as they barely got by JSU. QB Ponder is avg 309 ypg (61%) with a 2-1 ratio. RB Ty Jones has 99 rush yds (4.5). This is BYU’s first home game and they already have 2 wins under their belts and have won 18 straight home games. BYU had a 245-164 yd edge 1H vs then-#3 Okla when Bradford was healthy. QB Hall is avg a solid 319 ypg (71%) with a 4-3 ratio. RB Kariya has 105 rush yds (3.6). BYU has already beaten Oklahoma and is confident with QB Hall while FSU is coming off a game vs FCS Jax St in which they trailed until in the 4Q
ARKANSAS 27 Georgia 24 - UGA is 30-5 on opponents home fields under Richt. In the last meeting in ‘05, UGA pulled out a 23-20 win in Athens but Ark covered easily as 19’ pt dogs. Georgia is 8-1 SU vs the Hogs. Ark is 10-6 ATS in SEC openers but LY was crushed 49-14 by Alabama as a 9 pt HD and is now 2-6 SU in them. UGA is 3-6-1 as an AF while Petrino has won his last 3 as a HD with 2 outright upsets incl LSU LY. Arkansas is the fresher squad off a FCS foe and a bye and UGA battled #9 OSU on the road and just battled for a 41-37 win over SC in their home opener LW and travels again. Ark HC Petrino admitted that his team had already spent time preparing for this gm in Aug prior to their opener vs Missouri St. Ark QB’s Mallett and Wilson set a school single gm record with 447 pass yds in their 48-10 win over Missouri St and Petrino used top RB Smith sparingly (4 carries, 43 yd) to keep him fresh for SEC action. UGA QB Cox is avg 182 ypg (59%) with a 3-2 ratio and RB Samuel has 152 (4.3).
Utep 30 NEW MEXICO ST 6 - UTEP leads the “Battle of I-10” series 49-35-2 as these two interstate rivals are just 45 miles apart. These 2 have combined to avg 63 ppg in the L/9 with the L/3 decided by 6 pts or less. The HT in this series is 8-2 SU and 5-5 ATS, however, the visitor has covered each of the L/4 gms. NMSt has won the L/2 gms outright as a 7-pt dog in both ‘07 (44-34) and ‘08 (34-33). NMSt is on a 2-6 ATS skid and is 8-19 (just 4-19 vs FBS teams) SU and 8-15 ATS S/’07. UTEP has the edge on off (#78-120), def (#104-117) and ST (#92-100). The Miners are on a 3-1 ATS run in road openers but 0-5 ATS as an AF S/’05 with 4 outright losses. NMSt has another rivalry game on deck with a trip to in-state foe New Mexico while UTEP travels to Texas next week.
TEXAS 44 Texas Tech 24 - Rare early B12 matchup that was moved up from Nov 7th. This is one of the top revenge gms TY as in ‘08 TT WR Crabtree got a TD rec w/:01 left for Texas’s only loss of the year (costing them a possible Title shot). TT held the Horns to just 375 yds (only foe to hold UT under 400 yds) and although it took a last second TD to win, dominated most of the gm (22-6 HT score w/a 326-108 yd edge). Texas has won 8 of 10 SU and are allowing just 240 ypg passing the last 5 (well below Tech avg). Both schools are off a very soft 2W non-conf slate with 2 more winnable gms on deck so each will bring its “A” gm. This is the first road trip for TT QB Potts (431 ypg, 67%, 9-3 ratio) and the visitor is just 3-8 ATS. TT is 4-8-1 ATS in road openers and 2-6 as an AD. UT QB McCoy is avg 327 ypg (67%) with a 5-2 ratio. The Horns running gm still hasn’t found a leader but McGee has 131 yds (5.0). Both offenses are potent (UT#2, TT#21) but UT has the def edge (#6-42). TT plays better in Lubbock and UT brings back more from LY especially on off as the Red Raiders are now without Harrell and Crabtree. Will we use the Longhorns as the Sept 5H to gain early ground in the B12?
STANFORD 34 San Jose St 17 - Bill Walsh Legacy Game. SJSt used to talk about class warfare with their middle class team (tms just 22 miles apart) upsetting the upper class Cardinal 3 straight years (1998-2000). Since then Stanford is 6-1 SU with their avg win by 29.2 ppg (6-1 ATS). Stanford is 8-3 ATS at home vs non-conf opp and finally got a homefield edge out of their remodeled stadium in ‘08 (5-0 ATS) incl a frontdoor cover LY vs the Spartans on a meaningless TD w/:09 remaining. The Cardinal should have been 2-0 for the 1st time S/’04 but blew a 17-3 1H lead aided by a strong WF 2H and some questionable calls by the ACC refs. SJSt HC Tomey is just 8-14 ATS as an AD here incl their embarrassing performance in Wk 1 at USC (outgained 620-121). SJSt plyd well at home against Utah LW as our Underdog Play of the Week (tied 7-7 after 3Q) but were outscored 17-7 in the final frame in the 10 pt loss (+14). While the Spartans will likely play better in this P10 matchup, the Cardinal have gone 70-16-3 all-time vs the WAC and should continue that trend here.
OREGON ST 38 Cincinnati 34 - Two years ago OSU traveled to Cincy on a Thurs Nt and had a 310-229 yd edge but were done in by 7 TO’s and got pounded 34-3 (legit revenge). UC is 4-1 as an AD with 4 upsets under Kelly incl their blasting of Rut TY. QB Pike (296 ypg, 77%, 6-1 ratio) appears to have things under control in ‘09 as the off continues to chew up chunks of yardage incl a 70-3 performance vs FCS SE Missouri LW as WR Gilyard became the 1st FBS player to score on a PR, rec and rush S/’05. OSU pulled out the last second win LW vs UNLV, but never the less gave us a Top LPS 4H Winner as well as the top 4H Winner in Power Sweep on the Rebels (+7). QB Canfield has been efficient in his 1st 2 gms (79%, 3-0 ratio) which could keep QB Moevao off the field once he returns from inj. While both teams are young (10 and 9 ret sts), UC is making the odd trip to the Pacific NW (lost L/6 vs non-conf BCS tms by an avg of 21 ppg on the road) and probably won’t be prepared for the crowd volume of Reser Stadium, not to mention the fact that OSU is on a 9-4 ATS run as a HF.
RUTGERS 38 Fiu 17 - First meeting and RU’s 1st vs the SBC. FIU HC Cristobal worked as an asst coach for 3 yrs under RU HC Schiano. Rut is on a 12-3 ATS run as a DD fav and FIU is 0-15 SU vs BCS conf tms and dropped their L/9 on the road by an avg of 43-5! Rut is in their 3rd str HG and is off a 45-7 win over FCS Howard. True Fr QB Savage who joined in the summer (PS#29) made his 1st start throwing for 233 yds (62%) with 2 TD and RB Brooks rushed for 124 yds (7.3) and 3 TD. Rut rebounded from a dismal opener and rolled up 468 yds offense. FIU is off a 40-14 loss to #4 Bama. They were outgained 516-214 and were held to 1 yd rushing on 26 carries but stayed in the game til the 4Q. Sr QB McCall threw for 189 yds (50%) with a 1-0 ratio. Rutgers is at Maryland next, while FIU returns home to face Toledo. Rutgers has edge here on off (#69-109) and def (#78-107) while FIU has the ST’s edge (#29-58). The L/4 years FIU has had B2B road games vs BCS teams going 1-3 ATS in the 2nd game. Rutgers has a lot to prove and will take it one game at a time, Schiano began LY 1-5 before reaching a bowl and will again have the Knights focused beginning with this game.
ALABAMA 38 N Texas 10 - The most recent meeting was a 33-7 (-21) win in '02. Bama is 7-15 ATS as a DD fav, but 3-1 ATS as a 20+ pt fav. The Tide has beaten 3 SBC tms (WK, Ark St and FIU LW) by a comb 116-21 after losing to ULM in '07 (409-282 yd edge). UA was off a physical win over VT and started out slowly LW only leading 20-14 at the half, but held FIU to 95 yds in the 2H and only 1 rush yd in the gm. UA RB Ingram has 206 rush (5.7) and QB McElroy is avg 236 ypg (61%) with a 2-1 ratio. NT lost a heart-breaker in 2OT to Ohio LW 31-30 on a rain soaked field which resulted in 7 total TO's. QB Dodge is avg 167 ypg (66%) with a 2-1 ratio but was KO'd for most of the 2H LW (shoulder, check status). Top rusher Montgomery has 237 (6.1). Todd Dodge is 0-2 vs ranked teams losing by 54 ppg. Bama has huge edges on off (#26-75), def (#4-96) and spec tms (#3-119). Bama has Ark on deck and NT has Mid Tenn, so interest in this game might be minimal.
MARYLAND 27 Middle Tenn 21 - MT upset Maryland LY in what has been called the highest profile win in program history. The Terps won their 1st 2 meetings by an avg of 35-19. MD does have just 9 ret sts and 30 lett lost while MT is a stronger team than ‘08 with 16 ret sts and just 11 lett lost. MD is just 5-16 as a favorite, 1-5 ATS vs SBC and is off an OT game vs FCS James Madison but is playing with legitimate revenge. The Terps did have another poor performance LW with its inconsistent offense and struggling young D which probably lost starting CB Nolan Carroll (Capt) for the year (broken leg). QB Turner is avg 202 ypg (62%) with a 1-1 ratio and WR Smith has 9 rec (12.1) and is avg 26.2 on KR (1 TD). MT, however, rebounded from its season opening loss to Clemson and beat Memphis 31-14 with 436 ttl yds offense in front of a record crowd 28,105. QB Dasher is avg 218 ypg (56%) with a 3-3 ratio and has rushed for 150 yds (4.2).
S CAROLINA 34 Florida Atl 17 - This is a top situational game as FAU is coming off a bye while SC is between SEC games. SC also has a short week ahead as it plays Ole Miss Thursday. SC is 7-3 as a HF and 7-3 as a DD HF and this is their home opener. FAU usually uses these games (0-3 vs SEC avg loss 35 ppg) getting a lot of players action vs a quality team which helps them in conference play, but Schnellenberger talked tough about beating Texas (backfired) and may want a signature win. In their only meeting in ‘06 SC won 45-6 (-28’). SC has wins by just 10, 9, 7, 14, and 10 vs non-BCS foes in Sept and that includes 2 vs FCS Wofford. LW SC allowed 41 pts vs GA, the most since 2006, but held the advantage in yds 427-308 and FD 26-16. SC had a game winning pass broken up at the 7 with :22 left. FAU cashed as our Sept 5H in 2007 and do you think we may use an Owls game again?
LSU 41 Louisiana 10 - ULL is coming off an emotional 17-15 W at home over K-St when Tyler Albrecht kicked his first college FG with 32 seconds left but the Cajuns were outgained 377-287 LW and had 3 turnovers. Two years ago ULM upset Alabama and LY Bama beat two SBC teams by a comb 76-7. We bring this up because LY LSU was lucky to get past Troy as they trailed 31-10 in the 3Q at home and most of their fans left and did not see the rally. LSU was 0-2 LY ATS vs SBC’s best/worst (Troy, N Texas). After that close game they won’t take ULL lightly even in an SEC sandwich. Miles is just 9-17 as a HF but Louisiana is 0-21 vs LSU and has scored a combined 22 points in those 21 games!! LSU scored late to get an ATS push LW vs Vandy despite 326-210 yd and 22-12 FD edges. LSU has won 31 consecutive home night games.
ARIZONA ST 34 Ulm 17 - First meeting. ASU was home for the holidays LY so non-conf wins are important especially after looking past UNLV LY prior to meeting UGA. This year they are off a bye and realize that this is a must win with a journey to Athens vs the Bulldogs next week. ULM was shutout by a Top 10 team in their ‘08 opener but then led BCS foe Ark 24-6 in the 3Q but failed to come away with the upset. They took home the cover in the ‘09 ssn opener vs Texas (+42) and coasted past TX Southern LW as they held the Tigers to just 103 ttl yds while QB Revell connected on 17-19 passes (89%) for 238 yds. ULM has lost both gms vs P10 tms (UA, UCLA) by a combined 89-7. The Sun Devils have a big def advantage (#12-82), are 5-1 vs current SBC tms w/an avg score of 34-13 and HC Erickson is on a 12-4 run as a DD HF but ASU may have a hard time staying focused on this week with UGA looming.
PRO
4H Minnesota over DETROIT - DET took MIN to the wire in both games LY losing by 2 & 4 points but covering each. DET was outgained by an avg 347-240 but were +2 TO’s in each. Favre is only 5-11 ATS in DET. MIN got off to a slow start vs CLE LW but opened the game up in the 2H as they scored 24 unanswered points. Favre played to the strengths of the team as Peterson rushed for 180 yds (7.2) while he kept the ball moving with 110 yds passing (67%) with a 1 TD. MIN held CLE to just 37 yds passing in the 1H with 70 of the team’s overall passing yards coming in garbage time. Stafford gets his 1st home start & played like a rookie LW as he had 205 yds (43%) with 3 int & 64 of his yards came on 1 pass to C Johnson. NO was in control of the game the entire way as DET allowed 6 passing TD’s while being outgained 515-231. After facing one of the best QB’s in the NFL the Lions now face the best RB. MIN may once again start slow as they continue to integrate Favre BUT the focus of the offense is on RB Peterson until then with a stout defense to back him up. FORECAST: Minnesota 30 DETROIT 9
3H Arizona over JACKSONVILLE - ARZ is off their home opener vs SF & have a SNF home game vs IND on deck. ARZ went 0-5 ATS on the East Coast LY but JAX could have less than 40,000 fans here. JAX was unprepared for the new defensive philosophy vs IND LW & Garrard had a tough day with just 122 yds passing (50%). JAX started 2 rookie OT’s & along with only 1 proven WR in Torry Holt who had 3 rec’s (15.7). Minus a 58 yd drive setup by a missed FG in the 4Q JAX only had 41 yds in the 2H. ARZ’s lethargic preseason caught up to them LW as they struggled vs SF who cut off their downfield passing game & made them play their type of smashmouth football. ARZ didn’t complete a pass to a WR for the 1st 12:00 of the game. ARZ’s run game was again not a factor (40 yds 2.4) & Warner struggled in the pocket & hurt his throwing hand in the 2H. They did hold Gore to 30 yds rushing (1.4) with 11 tfl & a combo of 9 hits/sacks on Hill with a game under their belt. Look for ARZ to refocus & get the offense back in gear here vs a questionable JAX secondary that isn’t deep. FORECAST: Arizona 23 JACKSONVILLE 20
OTHER SELECTIONS
2H Cleveland over DENVER - DEN beat CLE 34-30 as a 3 pt AD in Brady Quinn’s 1st start on just 4 days notice on Thurs Night LY. Quinn did well passing for 239 yds (66%) with a 2-0 ratio vs a depleted DEN defense. DEN had 441 yds passing (57%) w/a 3-1 ratio vs busted coverage plays by CLE. Vs LY’s #6 defense the Browns did rather well with a only being outgained by a yard at the end of the 1H with a 13-10 lead thanks to a 67 yd PR for a TD. Quinn was okay with 47 yds (64%) at the half which doesn’t include an impressive 34 yd TD pass to Edwards that was called off due to questionable officiating. CLE couldn’t keep up with the talent gulf in the 2H though & allowed 24 unanswered points. DEN showed that they have a lot of room to improve vs CIN as they were outFD 8-4 & outgained 185-91 at the half & with a botched FG & an int by CIN on the DEN 20. DEN was very lucky to beat a listless CIN team & CLE did keep up with MIN for a fair amount. CLE has enough talent on the defense (DC Ryan used to be OAK’s DC) to keep them in the game & pull out an Ugly Dog (25-14 64%) road upset win here. FORECAST: Cleveland 24 DENVER 21
2H Oakland over KANSAS CITY - The visitor is 11-1 ATS in the series. The Raiders were in this situation LY coming in off a MNF home game & having to face the Chiefs on the road in Wk 2. OAK won 23-8 as a 3 pt AD with a 16-0 lead in the 4Q. OAK outrushed KC 300 (6.4) to 55 (2.9). OAK gets a favorable matchup vs a KC team that was outrushed 198 (4.8) to 29 (1.7) after allowing 135 ypg or more in 5 of their L6 games LY (148 ypg 4.8). KC QB Cassel DNP LW vs BAL as his sprained MCL wasn’t ready. The Chiefs results were wildly misleading as 14 points were setup by a blocked punt & a 70 yd int return as they were outFD 32-11 & outgained 501-188. The Raiders boosted their defense with the trade of DL Seymour from NE. KC is in transition under Haley & over achieved on the scoreboard in their loss to BAL. OAK does have to travel on a short week vs a div foe but this is an equally talented foe that is beaten up after the BAL game & are worth the look with the points. FORECAST: Oakland 20 KANSAS CITY 9
OTHER GAMES
TENNESSEE 24 Houston 17 - TEN has the schedule edge for their only home game in Sept with 3 extra days rest. TEN is 11-3 ATS after a SU loss. The Titans will also be looking to avenge a 13-12 loss as a 3 pt HF to HOU LY. TEN had already clinched the AFC South, earning a 1st RD bye but were looking ahead to PIT for the #1 AFC seed. HOU had a 22-14 FD & 375-281 yd edge. TEN’s defense did a solid job LW vs PIT as they held them to just 36 yds rush (1.1) & hit Roethlisberger 12 times in the game. TEN special teams cost them with only 73 total yards on KR/PR’s with Bironas missing a 37 yd FG & having a 31 yd FG blocked. HOU sustained a crushing loss to a rookie QB at home to open the season. Schaub couldn’t find a rhythm as he only had 166 yds (55%) with an 0-1 ratio with a meager 5.0 ypa. RB Slaton was held to just 17 yds (1.9) as HOU was outgained 462-183. HOU only had 2 drives inside Jets territory all day & both ended in TO’s. The Texans may have more potential on offense in the long hall but TEN is better all around defensively right now at home with the extra rest.
New England 31 NY JETS 10 - The visitor is 7-0 ATS & NE is 17-6 ATS as an AF. NE is off LW’s MNF game (6-3 ATS after) vs BUF. NE does get a great matchup with Belichick vs rookie QB Sanchez. Belichick’s Patriots are 5-1 SU/ATS & O/U vs rookie QB’s. Ryan did call out Belichick in the offseason saying he didn’t take the Jets job “to kiss his rings” in an attempt to build the team’s swagger. The Jets backed it up LW as they blew out the Texans with Sanchez looking solid with 272 yds (58%) with a 1-1 ratio (8.8 ypa). The Jets had 22-11 FD & 462-183 yd edges. The Jets performance will erase any NE tendency to underestimate Sanchez. NE also has a good grasp of the Jets offense as they kept the same system that OC Schottenheimer ran under Pennington/Favre. NE has also had their 1st road game vs the Jets the L3Y winning each SU & ATS. While there is no line due to the MNF game we’ll side with one of the best defensive minded coaches in the NFL here to take up Ryan’s challenge.
GREEN BAY 28 Cincinnati 21 - CIN is off a heartbreaking loss to DEN in which the Bengals scored the go ahead TD with :38 left then DEN had a fluke 87 yd TD after a CIN CB deflected a pass & had it bounce to the DEN WR. CIN’s offense was out of sync all day as on 3 drives inside the DEN 30 they had a fumble on a FG, int & 91 yd drive for a TD. Prior to the TD drive CIN had 24 yds for the entire 2H. GB’s offense has looked solid under Rodgers in the preseason & LY’s #8 offense wasn’t the reason for their struggles at the end of the season. While CIN’s offense has potential it’s clear now that they are in the same boat as IND was LY when Manning didn’t practice all preseason & he didn’t get up to speed untilOct. With CIN’s uncertain emotional state despite a good defensive performance (only 10 FD for DEN, 75 yds rushing 3.8) & no line due to the SNF game we’ll call for GB by 7.
PHILADELPHIA 23 New Orleans 17 - The Eagles beat the Saints 38-23 as a 3 pt AD in the last meeting in 2007. Both teams come in off big Wk 1 wins as NO shredded the Lions with a 515-231 yd edge. Brees set a personal record with 6 TD’s but now gets a PHI team that made short work of CAR after they allowed a 13pl/70 yd drive on the games 1st drive. From there PHI outgained CAR 267-99 scoring 24 pts in 6:00 at one point. PHI held CAR to negative yards on 5 drives, pulled in 5 int’s while adding an 85 yd PR for a TD. Brees is a pocket QB that needs to get into a rhythm early to get the offense going. PHI is still running the same exotic blitz system with a new DC. McNabb’s status is doubtful (broken ribs) & he is likely to rest as they have a home game vs KC on deck followed by a bye week. PHI is expected to go with Kevin Kolb (23 yds 64% LW) as they waived AJ Feeley & Vick isn’t eligible until Wk 3. PHI’s win is more impressive as it is over a higher quality foe & they do get the benefit of the injury system where teams rise up when a key player is out for their 1st game.
ATLANTA 27 Carolina 13 - The teams split the series LY with the home team winning each game SU & ATS. CAR opened the PHI game strong as they went 70/13pl for the game’s 1st score. It went downhill rapidly for CAR afterwards due to 5 TO”s which setup 24 pts for PHI. Delhomme (9 int’s in his L51 pass att) was pulled late in the 3Q with CAR down 38-10 while being outgained 230-108. LY’s #3 rush offense headed by Williams & Stewart combined for 79 yds (2.9). ATL came within 3:22 of posting their 1st shutout in 102 games by forcing 4 TO’s which they converted into 10 points. Ryan was very efficient passing for 229 yds (61%) with a 2-0 ratio. ATL’s run game wasn’t a factor as they only had 68 yds (2.5) but ATL had an avg drive start on their own 47. ATL is 7-1 ATS at home, showed that they could contain the run holding MIA’s top 2 RB’s to 82 yds (4.8) & we’ll side with Ryan at home as he disproves the sophomore slump.
WASHINGTON 20 St Louis 6 - The Rams got their 1st win of 2008 vs WAS when they upset them 19-17 as a 13 pt AD. STL won on a 49 yd FG with no time left despite being outFD 22-8 & outgained 368-200. WAS had 3 fmbl & an int that was returned 75 yds for a TD right at the end of the 1H. STL has to travel for the 2nd straight week going from one end of the country to another as former Giants DC Spagnuolo returns. STL looked very disorganized LW in their blowout loss to SEA. STL was outgained 446-247 as they committed 10 penalties, went 2 of 12 on 3rd Dns as Bulger had 111 yds passing going into the 4Q & just a 5.3 ypa overall. WAS takes a huge step down here after facing the Giants as they were outgained 351-272 & Portis was held to 62 yds (3.9). Despite the 17 pts WAS still has work to do as 1 TD came on a fake FG at the end of the 1H & are well aware the other came in garbage time. WAS greatest margin of victory LY was 8 pts & they are 1-5 ATS as a favorite. However, WAS has a sizeable edge in talent in defensive talent & Portis should bounce back here.
SAN FRANCISCO 20 Seattle 14 - The visitor is 4-1 ATS. SEA beat SF 34-14 as a 5.5 pt AD in Singletary’s 1st game as HC LY. SEA was without Hasselbeck & had a 20-3 lead at the end of the 1H. Singletary switched to Hill who led SF to 10 pts on his 1st 2 drives. SF did have a 388-261 yd edge. Without 2 starting OL & their best CB LW, SEA blew out a threadbare STL team 28-0 with a 446-247 yd edge. Hasselbeck had 279 yds passing (69%) with a 3-2 ratio in his return but STL’s talent level is below TB’s & equivalent to DET’s. SF forced a sluggish ARZ team to play its type of smashmouth football & while they didn’t get the ground game going vs ARZ (21 yds 0.8) SEA could be without MLB Tatupu (hamstring) here. Gore is an elite RB vs a lighter speed oriented defense who is off a soft foe & SF gets the win.
BUFFALO 23 Tampa Bay 13 - The Bills are off LW’s MNF game & it’s unknown how they fared with a new 3 new starters on their OL. The off-season excitement of the hurry up offense was tempered with 0 preseason TD’s by the Bills #1’s and with the release of the OC. While the Bills now have a game under their belt we expect positive improvement after their probable loss at New England. TB’s offense had a better then expected opener outFD DAL 26-18 while gaining 450 yds. They did gain almost a third of those yards (154) on 5 plays which will be much tougher to gain on the road. The Buc’s defense however struggled at home LW allowing 8.9 ypp as their poor tackling allowed DAL to gain 18+ yards on 9 separate plays. BUF is now 14-4 ATS after NE & with a 4 game home losing streak and a potential 0-2 start to this season there will be no letting off the gas. We’ll side with the better team at home facing a new head coach preparing his team for his first road game.
SAN DIEGO 23 Baltimore 17 - The Ravens are 0-4 ATS in West Coast games. BAL had an interesting game vs KC LW as they posted 12-3 FD & 215-56 yd edges at the end of the 1H. BAL didn’t allow KC to get its initial FD until 2:39 left in the 1H. They did lose their focus with a blocked punt & 70 yd Int return setting up 14 pts for KC. SD is off LW’s MNF game vs OAK go from LY’s #27 D to LY’s #2 D that looked in midseason form LW. SD does have an advantage in the passing game with their receiving unit vs a very thin BAL CB unit that wasn’t challenged (177 yds LW) much by KC. Rivers avg 264 ypg (66%) with an 11-1 ratio in Dec LY & did look sharp in the preseason. There is no line due to MNF & we want to see if SD is as balanced on offense as they are billed to be & how the defense runs after a full offseason under DC Rivera with Merriman back. We will call for SD by 6 & await the line.
Pittsburgh 28 CHICAGO 24 - The Steelers come in with the schedule edge with 3 days rest vs a CHI team that is off a SNF road game vs GB. PIT will be without SS Polamalu (sprain knee) for 3-6 weeks but should get LB Timmons back. PIT’s OL issues once again reared its ugly head as they could only get 36 yds rushing (1.6) & let Roethlisberger get hit 12 times. He did have an impressive 363 yds passing (77%) with a 1-2 ratio vs LY’s #9 pass def with 1 int being a Hail Mary at the end of the 1H. While CHI’s offense did get a big boost with Cutler being added, PIT only allowed 200 yds passing in 3 of it’s L17 games with three 100 yd rushers in its L/83. CHI does have some weapons with RB Forte (77 ypg 3.6 ypc LY) & TE Olsen (54 rec 10.6) but PIT’s LB’s are built to take away those threats. Cutler makes the Bears a dangerous team but PIT has the better WR’s, defense & P Sepulveda gives PIT an improved special teams to neutralize Hester & we’ll call for the road team by 4.
NY Giants at DALLAS - DAL started off slow vs TB as they were outgained in the 1H & settled for 2 FG’s on their 1st 2 drives. Romo led 3 drives for 79, 81 & 74 yds after for the win. NYG dominated WAS more than the final or yd stats (351-272) indicate as they had a 12:00+ TOP edge & gave up a 72/7pl garbage time drive. DAL has a huge home edge but with how they closed out Texas Stadium the pressure is more on them than NYG. Get this play on the NC Sports Debit Card for only $9 after 11:00 am on Sunday.
Indianapolis at MIAMI - MNF - The Colts got a tough win vs JAX LW as Manning tied the franchise record for career wins & new HC Jim Caldwell got his 1st win. IND lost #2 WR Gonzalez (right knee) & his status is unknown. MIA turned the ball over 4 times to set up 10 pts for the Falcons & they will be under added pressure here as they have a road trip to SD on deck. Call for Your Monday Night Magic Winner tonight! Call your Northcoast Debit Card and get the Monday Night Magic Play for $30. If the play loses, you will get $40 credited back to your Northcoast Debit account the very next day! It’s the New Way to Play Magic - only on the Northcoast Debit Card and only on Monday night! MNM now 109-71-5 61% L/11Y!

 

[beachboy+]

Pointwise...

College...
1--Texas over Texas Tech 51-24
1--Bowling Green over Marshall 37-17
2--Auburn over West Virginia 34-17
2--Stanford over San Jose State 40-10
3--Air Force over New Mexico 38-13
4--Buffalo (+) over UCF 33-20
5--Cincinnati over Oregon State 34-20
5--Arizona (+) over Iowa 24-17

NFL...
3--Washington over St. Louis 27-7
3--New England over NY Jets 34-20
4--Tennessee over Houston 27-13
4--Chicago (+) over Pittsburgh 20-19
5--Indy over Miami 23-17

pdf will be posted later tonight

 

[sdf]

http://www.zshare.net/download/65611994029ef9ff/

Power Sweep

 

[kunkel77]

Thanks SDF and everyone else that posts the newsletters!!

Kunkel

 

[Daubs82]

Sunshine Forecast

 

[beachboy+]

Pointwise PDF...

http://www.zshare.net/download/656277398dd868f2/

 

[Daubs82]

Sunshine Forecast

Sunshine Forecast CFB Computer Predictions

Thursday, September 17, 2009
Georgia Tech (+4½) at Miami-Florida
Power Rating Projection:
Miami-Florida 23 Georgia Tech 22 Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Miami-Florida 21 Georgia Tech 20

Friday, September 18, 2009
Boise State (-7½) at Fresno State
Power Rating Projection:
Boise State 33 Fresno State 13 Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Boise State 34 Fresno State 13
Historical trend: Take Boise State ( Domination by Boise State, 7-1, 87.5%
)
Historical trend: Take Boise State ( Domination by favorite, 7-1, 87.5% )

Saturday, September 19, 2009
Ball State (+7½) at Army
Power Rating Projection:
Ball State 26 Army 16 Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Ball State 21 Army 12

Northern Illinois (+12½) at Purdue
Power Rating Projection:
Purdue 31 Northern Illinois 24 Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Purdue 34 Northern Illinois 27

Eastern Michigan (+22) at Michigan
Power Rating Projection:
Michigan 32 Eastern Michigan 18 Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Michigan 32 Eastern Michigan 17

Navy (+7) at Pittsburgh
Power Rating Projection:
Pittsburgh 33 Navy 24 Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Pittsburgh 35 Navy 26

Northwestern (-4) at Syracuse
Power Rating Projection:
Northwestern 32 Syracuse 19 Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Syracuse 27 Northwestern 24
Syracuse (1 star)

Boston College (+7½) at Clemson
Power Rating Projection:
Boston College 25 Clemson 23 Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Boston College 23 Clemson 22
Historical trend: Take Boston College ( Domination by underdog, 4-0,
100.0% )

Temple (+29½) at Penn State
Power Rating Projection:
Penn State 42 Temple 14 Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Penn State 45 Temple 17

East Carolina (+6) at North Carolina
Power Rating Projection:
North Carolina 29 East Carolina 18 Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
North Carolina 27 East Carolina 16

Miami-Ohio (+17) at Western Michigan
Power Rating Projection:
Western Michigan 32 Miami-Ohio 13 Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Western Michigan 30 Miami-Ohio 10

Mississippi State (+8½) at Vanderbilt
Power Rating Projection:
Vanderbilt 31 Mississippi State 17 Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Vanderbilt 28 Mississippi State 15

Wyoming (+7) at Colorado
Power Rating Projection:
Colorado 24 Wyoming 19 Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Colorado 20 Wyoming 16

Arizona (+6) at Iowa
Power Rating Projection:
Iowa 29 Arizona 21 Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Iowa 28 Arizona 21

Indiana (+4) at Akron
Power Rating Projection:
Akron 36 Indiana 19 Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Akron 38 Indiana 21

Duke (+20) at Kansas
Power Rating Projection:
Kansas 29 Duke 15 Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Kansas 26 Duke 12

Virginia (+15) at Southern Miss
Power Rating Projection:
Southern Miss 29 Virginia 17 Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Virginia 22 Southern Miss 21
Virginia (1 star)

Utah (+4) at Oregon
Power Rating Projection:
Utah 31 Oregon 29 Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Utah 35 Oregon 34

Southern Cal (-21) at Washington
Power Rating Projection:
Southern Cal 43 Washington 10 Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Southern Cal 35 Washington 21
Washington (1 star)

Kansas State (+10) at U.C.L.A.
Power Rating Projection:
U.C.L.A. 27 Kansas State 19 Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
U.C.L.A. 24 Kansas State 16

Nebraska (+3) at Virginia Tech
Power Rating Projection:
Nebraska 27 Virginia Tech 22 Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Nebraska 26 Virginia Tech 21

Michigan State (+11½) at Notre Dame
Power Rating Projection:
Notre Dame 29 Michigan State 26 Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Notre Dame 31 Michigan State 28
Historical trend: Take Michigan State ( Domination on the road by Michigan
State, 4-0, 100.0% )

Ohio State (-20½) vs. Toledo
Power Rating Projection:
Ohio State 39 Toledo 15 Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Ohio State 41 Toledo 17

West Virginia (+6) at Auburn
Power Rating Projection:
Auburn 25 West Virginia 24 Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Auburn 24 West Virginia 23

Tennessee (+28½) at Florida
Power Rating Projection:
Florida 45 Tennessee 12 Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Florida 48 Tennessee 16

S-M-U (-6½) at Washington State
Power Rating Projection:
S-M-U 34 Washington State 23 Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
S-M-U 38 Washington State 27

San Diego State (-3½) at Idaho
Power Rating Projection:
Idaho 27 San Diego State 25 Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Idaho 28 San Diego State 26

Nevada-Reno (-3) at Colorado State
Power Rating Projection:
Colorado State 32 Nevada-Reno 25 Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Colorado State 35 Nevada-Reno 28

Bowling Green (-3) at Marshall
Power Rating Projection:
Bowling Green 30 Marshall 17 Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Bowling Green 28 Marshall 16

California (-13½) at Minnesota
Power Rating Projection:
California 33 Minnesota 15 Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
California 31 Minnesota 13

Buffalo (+4) at U-C-F
Power Rating Projection:
Buffalo 25 U-C-F 22 Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Buffalo 23 U-C-F 20

Rice (+31½) at Oklahoma State
Power Rating Projection:
Oklahoma State 46 Rice 25 Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Oklahoma State 52 Rice 31

Tulsa (+15) at Oklahoma
Power Rating Projection:
Oklahoma 44 Tulsa 19 Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Oklahoma 49 Tulsa 24

Connecticut (+10) at Baylor
Power Rating Projection:
Baylor 23 Connecticut 22 Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Baylor 20 Connecticut 19

Utah State (+17) at Texas A+M
Power Rating Projection:
Texas A+M 36 Utah State 26 Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Texas A+M 41 Utah State 31

Louisville (+10) at Kentucky
Power Rating Projection:
Kentucky 32 Louisville 23 Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Kentucky 34 Louisville 24

Iowa State (-2) at Kent State
Power Rating Projection:
Kent State 26 Iowa State 20 Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Kent State 26 Iowa State 20

Florida State (+7) at Brigham Young
Power Rating Projection:
Brigham Young 29 Florida State 21 Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Brigham Young 28 Florida State 20

Georgia (Pk) at Arkansas
Power Rating Projection:
Georgia 25 Arkansas 23 Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Georgia 25 Arkansas 23

Air Force (-17) at New Mexico
Power Rating Projection:
Air Force 29 New Mexico 21 Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Air Force 28 New Mexico 20

UTEP (-13) at New Mexico State
Power Rating Projection:
UTEP 35 New Mexico State 27 Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
UTEP 40 New Mexico State 31

Texas Tech (+16½) at Texas
Power Rating Projection:
Texas 37 Texas Tech 29 Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Texas Tech 41 Texas 37
Texas Tech (1 star)
Historical trend: Take Texas ( Domination by home team, 6-2, 75.0% )

Hawaii (+7) at Nevada-Las Vegas
Power Rating Projection:
Nevada-Las Vegas 28 Hawaii 25 Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Nevada-Las Vegas 29 Hawaii 26

San Jose State (+18½) at Stanford
Power Rating Projection:
Stanford 36 San Jose State 14 Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Stanford 35 San Jose State 13
Historical trend: Take Stanford ( Domination at home by Stanford, 5-0,
100.0% )
Historical trend: Take Stanford ( Domination by favorite at Stanford, 5-0,
100.0% )

Cincinnati (+1½) at Oregon State
Power Rating Projection:
Oregon State 28 Cincinnati 27 Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Oregon State 29 Cincinnati 28

Florida Intl (+15) at Rutgers
Power Rating Projection:
Rutgers 36 Florida Intl 19 Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Rutgers 38 Florida Intl 21

North Texas (+38½) at Alabama
Power Rating Projection:
Alabama 46 North Texas 5 Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Alabama 45 North Texas 6

Middle Tennessee (+6½) at Maryland
Power Rating Projection:
Maryland 35 Middle Tennessee 24 Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Maryland 38 Middle Tennessee 28

Florida Atlantic (+21) at South Carolina
Power Rating Projection:
South Carolina 27 Florida Atlantic 10 Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
South Carolina 23 Florida Atlantic 6

U-A-B (+7) at Troy
Power Rating Projection:
Troy 33 U-A-B 21 Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Troy 34 U-A-B 23

UL-Lafayette (+26½) at Louisiana State
Power Rating Projection:
Louisiana State 35 UL-Lafayette 23 Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Louisiana State 38 UL-Lafayette 27

UL-Monroe (+18) at Arizona State
Power Rating Projection:
Arizona State 35 UL-Monroe 21 Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Arizona State 38 UL-Monroe 24

Wofford at Wisconsin
Power Rating Projection:
Wisconsin 46 Wofford 6 Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Wisconsin 46 Wofford 6

Furman at Missouri
Power Rating Projection:
Missouri 41 Furman 1 Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Missouri 41 Furman 3

Alcorn State at Central Michigan
Power Rating Projection:
Central Michigan 47 Alcorn State 3 Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Central Michigan 45 Alcorn State 3

Gardner-Webb at No Carolina State
Power Rating Projection:
No Carolina State 31 Gardner-Webb 3 Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
No Carolina State 28 Gardner-Webb 0

Elon at Wake Forest
Power Rating Projection:
Wake Forest 35 Elon 0 Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Wake Forest 46 Elon 0

Cal-San Luis Obispo at Ohio
Power Rating Projection:
Ohio 41 Cal-San Luis Obispo 24 Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Ohio 46 Cal-San Luis Obispo 30

Texas State at Texas Christian
Power Rating Projection:
Texas Christian 63 Texas State 4 Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Texas Christian 69 Texas State 10

Charleston Southern at South Florida
Power Rating Projection:
South Florida 53 Charleston Southern 6 Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
South Florida 58 Charleston Southern 10

Nicholls State at Louisiana Tech
Power Rating Projection:
Louisiana Tech 56 Nicholls State 8 Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Louisiana Tech 62 Nicholls State 13

Central Arkansas at Western Kentucky
Power Rating Projection:
Western Kentucky 27 Central Arkansas 26 Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Western Kentucky 28 Central Arkansas 27

S E Louisiana at Mississippi
Power Rating Projection:
Mississippi 53 S E Louisiana 0 Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Mississippi 53 S E Louisiana 0

Tennessee-Martin at Memphis
Power Rating Projection:
Memphis 36 Tennessee-Martin 19 Statistical Projections
Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:
Memphis 38 Tennessee-Martin 21

Warren Repole / Sunshine Forecast Enterprises / Contact us by email
Copyright © 2009 Sunshine Forecast Enterprises. All Rights Reserved.
Last modified on 09/15/2009 20:14:38

 

[thegodfather512]

Statfox Platinum Sheets

http://www.zshare.net/download/65630357c486701b/

Does anyone have the .pdf to Marc Lawrence?

 

[Rodney350]

FIVE NEWSLETTERS


http://www.mediafire.com/?sharekey=3...f0d6082f1c2cd0


PointWise, The Red Sheet, Sports Memo, The Sports Reporter, Winning Points

 

[thegodfather512]

nothing at that link

 

[Rodney350]

FIVE NEWSLETTERS

Try this one
http://www.mediafire.com/?sharekey=3...f0d6082f1c2cd0


PointWise, The Red Sheet, Sports Memo, The Sports Reporter, Winning Points

http://www.mediafire.com/?sharekey=3cab6dae43007d50e5c3dee5769931ec4d7fb712f1d8fc454df0d6082f1c2cd0

 

[Rodney350]

nothing at that link

hey godfather did it work for you that time?